Markets
SCOM
Will Safaricom (SCOM) hit KES 25 before Dec 31?
KES 610k VolEconomyEnds Dec 31
01234567890123456789%chance that Yes will win
YesNo
Live
Yes29%
No71%
Resolves YES if SCOM trades at or above KES 25.00 at any close on the NSE before Dec 31, 2026.
Oracle source: Nairobi Securities Exchange daily price list
Discussion 3
[YES @ 29%]2h
Inflation prints have been soft three months running. The data is pointing one way only.
[NO @ 71%]1h
Shilling pressure from the Eurobond repayment says otherwise. Don't sleep on it.
[YES @ 29%]48m
Reserves are at 4.8 months of import cover. Plenty of buffer.
[NO @ 71%]5h
Small position as a hedge. Implied probabilities look too stretched for me.
6h
Volume spiked 3x after the morning headline. Watching closely.

