Polka
Markets
Sat 16:00·KES 1.2M Vol·International Friendly
Kenya
VS
Uganda
01234567890123456789%chance that Kenya will win
Kenya44%
Draw28%
Uganda28%

Resolves on the official 90-minute result including stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded.

Oracle source: CAF official match report

Discussion 3

[KENYA @ 44%]2h

Inflation prints have been soft three months running. The data is pointing one way only.

[UGANDA @ 28%]1h

Shilling pressure from the Eurobond repayment says otherwise. Don't sleep on it.

[KENYA @ 44%]48m

Reserves are at 4.8 months of import cover. Plenty of buffer.

[UGANDA @ 28%]5h

Small position as a hedge. Implied probabilities look too stretched for me.

6h

Volume spiked 3x after the morning headline. Watching closely.