Markets

Will Bitcoin close above $120k on Oct 31?
KES 1.7M VolCryptoEnds Oct 31
01234567890123456789%chance that Yes will win
YesNo
Live
Yes47%
No53%
Resolves YES if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 23:59 UTC on Oct 31 is above 120,000.
Oracle source: Binance BTC/USDT spot
Discussion 3
[YES @ 47%]2h
Inflation prints have been soft three months running. The data is pointing one way only.
[NO @ 53%]1h
Shilling pressure from the Eurobond repayment says otherwise. Don't sleep on it.
[YES @ 47%]48m
Reserves are at 4.8 months of import cover. Plenty of buffer.
[NO @ 53%]5h
Small position as a hedge. Implied probabilities look too stretched for me.
6h
Volume spiked 3x after the morning headline. Watching closely.

